Ukrainian forces have reportedly stepped up their presence in the area over the last few months, while at the same time, Ukrainian leadership has publicly expressed concern about a potential renewed Russian advance on the northern front.

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The oil pumping station in Perm is still burning. Three separate fires are ongoing. #Russia pic.twitter.com/pgLNUIp8Mk

— NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) 30 avril 2026

The oil pumping station in Perm is still burning. Three separate fires are ongoing. #Russia

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Ukrainian forces from the 1st Nuclear Power Plant Defense Battalion in Pripyat, patrolling the Chernobyl Exclusion Zone on Ukraine's northern front.

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New satellite imagery shows the aftermath of the recent drone strike on the Tuapse oil refinery in Russia’s Krasnodar Krai. Four fuel tanks and adjacent infrastructure completely burned down. #Russia pic.twitter.com/x4h4STUVyg

— NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) 30 avril 2026

New satellite imagery shows the aftermath of the recent drone strike on the Tuapse oil refinery in Russia’s Krasnodar Krai. Four fuel tanks and adjacent infrastructure completely burned down. #Russia

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Kallas: Hybrid attacks are already off the scale, and Russia is gearing for a long confrontation with the West.

Whether Putin dares to test us depends on whether our deterrence is credible. Showing weakness strengthens Russia. A more European NATO is overdue. 4X pic.twitter.com/5Ej5BfXKU2

— Tymofiy Mylovanov (@Mylovanov) 30 avril 2026

Kallas: Hybrid attacks are already off the scale, and Russia is gearing for a long confrontation with the West. Whether Putin dares to test us depends on whether our deterrence is credible. Showing weakness strengthens Russia. A more European NATO is overdue. 4X

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Kallas: For Europe, freedom of navigation is non-negotiable.

Any peace agreement will have to restore full and permanent freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz without tolls. It will also have to address Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile program. 3/ pic.twitter.com/Q9DIkKzrrN

— Tymofiy Mylovanov (@Mylovanov) 30 avril 2026

Kallas: For Europe, freedom of navigation is non-negotiable. Any peace agreement will have to restore full and permanent freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz without tolls. It will also have to address Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile program. 3/

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Kallas: There is no swift exit from the standoff in the Strait of Hormuz. The consequences are negative across the board.

The global economy is reeling, Russia is gaining fresh revenue from higher oil prices, and US weapons deliveries to Nordic and Baltic states face delays. 2/ pic.twitter.com/9MiA9tXAqe

— Tymofiy Mylovanov (@Mylovanov) 30 avril 2026

Kallas: There is no swift exit from the standoff in the Strait of Hormuz. The consequences are negative across the board. The global economy is reeling, Russia is gaining fresh revenue from higher oil prices, and US weapons deliveries to Nordic and Baltic states face delays. 2/

→ View original post on X — @mylovanov,

Kallas: Backing Ukraine has pushed Russia into stalemate and revolutionized modern warfare. Ukraine is more important to us than it is to Russia.

Russia’s war aims keep falling flat, and now Moscow’s Victory Day parade is set to take place without heavy military equipment. 1/ pic.twitter.com/cztOqDean1

— Tymofiy Mylovanov (@Mylovanov) 30 avril 2026

Kallas: Backing Ukraine has pushed Russia into stalemate and revolutionized modern warfare. Ukraine is more important to us than it is to Russia. Russia’s war aims keep falling flat, and now Moscow’s Victory Day parade is set to take place without heavy military equipment. 1/

→ View original post on X — @mylovanov,