The U.S. and Germany allegedly do not plan to directly pressure Zelensky to negotiate. Rather, they hope the military aid and freezing of the conflict will indirectly compel negotiations. 15/

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The German government denies claims made by the Bild tabloid about a "secret plan" by the U.S. and Germany to limit military aid to Ukraine in order to push Kyiv into negotiations. 16/

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But will that be enough for Ukraine to have a clear path towards NATO membership and hence security guarantees? I am afraid that the politics will get in the way. The U.S. would be too afraid to rise up to Russia and support the Ukraine membership bid 12/

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NATO and Ukraine are expected to sign a list of reforms Ukraine must complete to join NATO in the future. This should spur Ukrainian reforms while providing NATO members an informal checklist to track progress. 11/

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Thus, if Bild is right and the IS and Germany want to nudge Ukraine towards a deal with Russia, what kind of deal would that be? At most it can be a cease fire during which both sides would be frantically regrouping for the next episode of the war. It won’t be a solution 7/

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There is one solution – as Anne Applebaum puts is – Ukraine should resist long enough that Russia learns and accepts it cannot get Ukraine. Then the war will stop. But for that the West should be arming Ukraine, not limiting arms supplies. 8/

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So basically Ukraine wanted security guarantees and Russia wanted that Ukraine cannot get security guarantees. The UK then said that they can’t guarantee security against Russia. 5/

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What could those guarantees be? Well, for Ukraine to become a part of NATO. But what were the demands of Russia for Ukraine to sign a deal – that Ukraine stays neutral and doesn’t engage in any military unions, NATO (or as implied otherwise) 4/

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Form what I heard, the story about Boris Johnson coming to Ukraine and stopping the deal with Russia is true. Some people I talked to at the time believed that peace would soon be possible. Others were saying they didn’t trust Russia and peace is impossible 2/

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This week, Bild stated that the US and Germany might push Zelenskyy to talk with Russia by limiting arms supplies

Ukraine countered that in 2022 the UK Prime Minister advised them against signing any deal, promising needed arms supplies 1/

pic.twitter.com/hSub2JiKJU

— Tymofiy Mylovanov (@Mylovanov) 28 novembre 2023

This week, Bild stated that the US and Germany might push Zelenskyy to talk with Russia by limiting arms supplies Ukraine countered that in 2022 the UK Prime Minister advised them against signing any deal, promising needed arms supplies 1/

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