21/ for Ukrainians, which many observers point out. They are of course to be taken with a huge grain of salt but they confirm that a counter-offensive will, in any case, be extremely deadly.
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Ukrainian silence, Russian profusion: masking and relief
19/ Another point must be observed: the silence of Ukrainian communication and the profusion of Russian communication. In the first case, it is part of the game to mask one's intentions. On the Russian side, it also shows a kind of 'relief'.
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Offensive across the entire front to test Russian reactions
18/ Launching an offensive without trying to mitigate this gap seems unlikely. Finally, let us note that the attacks were triggered all along the front line, as if to test by fire the Russian reaction capabilities.
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Ukrainian advance in Zaporizhzhia with UK brigade
The three-point push on the Zaporizhzhia front, with a central effort toward Velyka Novosilka, is particularly noteworthy. It appears that one of the newly formed brigades trained in the United Kingdom has been deployed (31 BM, possibly the 27th).
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Russian action resumes near Kupiansk to watch
14 artillery strikes before attempting to take abandoned positions. I expected an advance toward Siversk or Adivka, but was more surprised by the renewed activity near Kupiansk. To be continued, as it’s likely the Russians will monitor developments in the south.
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Military analysis: post-Bakhmut phase, both sides want initiative
10/ Military analysis: We have clearly entered the 'post-Bakhmut' phase that held our attention for five months. What is interesting is that both sides wanted to take the initiative, in different ways.
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Fighting continues toward Mala Tokmachka and Vuhledar
9/ Finally, fighting occurred further west of the front toward Mala Tokmachka and further east toward Vuhledar. I will not go further, as the situation remains very confused…
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Ukraine relaunches offensive at Novodonetsk and Soledar, Leopard tanks spotted
8/ The Ukrainians are reported to have relaunched action today, particularly east of VN, near Novodonetsk. Leopard tanks have been spotted (unconfirmed). Similarly, a Ukrainian push is reported in the Donbas, towards Soledar (unconfirmed).
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Ukraine launches offensive pushes in south
Since Sunday, there has been a shift in tactics with Ukrainian offensive reconnaissance operations at several points along the southern front. First, two pushes were made near Novopil and Velyka Novosilka (VN). It appears these attacks were repelled.
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Russian micro advances at Marinka, Ukrainian gains in south
6/ Some Russian micro advances at Marinka. Across the entire southern sector, it was the Ukrainians who carried out small territorial gains near Novomykhailivka, Vuhledar, Kamianske. These were mostly gains in gray zones.
