They appear to be trying to regain a foothold on the Zherebets River. Revisiting situation report #31 from October 2nd, I noted that they would attempt to establish a defensive line between the Zherebets and the Krasna River (along route 66). This line has largely held.
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Supply to the city: Chasiv Yar and Russian pressures toward Stupochky
13/ supplying the city. Chasiv Yar, to the west, which commanded Bakhmut, is now under pressure, with initial Russian reconnaissance toward the village of Stupochky, just to its south. The canal barely marks the zones controlled by either side.
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Bakhmut attacked from all sides around the city
10/ Bakhmut itself is coming under assaults from all sides: north (from Pidhorodne), east and south. Thus, the Russians have advanced south of both banks of the river and are now fighting in inhabited areas north of Opytne and the cemetery.
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Critical situation southwest of Bakhmut
To the east, the entire residential area has now become a combat zone, with Ukrainian forces gradually retreating. However, it is southwest of Bakhmut where the Ukrainian situation is most precarious.
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Conflict: Russian advances since Soledar and threats around Rozdolivka and Vesele
Indeed, if Spirne remains under Ukrainian control, the Russians are attacking from the south, from their position at Soledar. They captured Sacco & Vanzetti and Mykolaivka this week, pushing north: Rozdolivka is already threatened, as is Vesele.
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Russian advances near Soledar and Blahodatne
From Sacco&Vanzetti, the Russians are also pushing westward toward Vasioukivka. South of Soledar, they are slowly advancing from Blahodatne toward the south: Krasna Hora, which was under Ukrainian control, is being ceded. This was the key road junction between…
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Increased pressure on Bilohorivka in Ukraine
To the south, pressure on Bilohorivka is now very intense, with the village being attacked from three sides and Ukrainian forces soon forced to retreat (they had captured it in late September). This means the Siversk salient is gradually shrinking.
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Ukrainian advances near Svatove and Kreminna
Just southwest of Svatove, a push west from Novodyane has reportedly reached the outskirts of Luhansk Oblast. This is a significant development for analysis. This brings us to Kreminna, one of the Ukrainian objectives pursued for months.
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Russian advance toward Torske and the forest
Russian forces are reported to have advanced from Chervonopopivka to the edges of the oblast; from Dibrova, fully under their control, westward to the outskirts of Torske and southward into the forest that separates them from the Siverski Donets River.
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Russians advance near Lyman Pershi and Dvorichne north of Kupiansk
3/ To the north of Kupiansk, the Russians have slightly inched from Lyman Pershi to Dvorichne. These settlements are still under Ukrainian control, but it is clear that the Russians want to reach the Oskil River.