While I was buys writing this, Information emerged about Russian missiles killing two people in Poland. I do not think article 5 will be invoked, this is most likely unintentional and no one will risk a nuclear war over 2 stray missiles. Article 4 is very likely.
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Russian tactics: recon near river, rapid response 20-30km away
I would have smaller recon teams close to the river and have rapid response forces just out of artillery range. Ukraine will not launch a river crossing operation in a few hours time, the Russians will have time to respond even if they are 20-30km away.
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RU still hold left bank Dnipro, scaling down troop presence
After yesterdays flood of rumors it seems to have calmed down a bit. RU forces still hold the left bank of the Dnipro. I suspect they are scaling down the troop presence in the area within 155mm range.
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AFU resistance in Donetsk: attacks repelled near Novokalynove and other cities
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks around Novokalynove, Pervomais'ke, Krasnohorivka, Novomykhailivka and Vremivka
Pavlivka has not been captured by the Russians. I'm not even sure they want to stay there. -
Claims of clearing Bakhmuts’ke are lies; AFU repulses attacks
They also claimed to have cleared out the last of Bakhmuts'ke a few weeks ago. This has also proven to be a lie. The AFU repulsed attacks around Bilohorivka Bakhmuts'ke and Bakhmut.
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Russian forces falsely claim capture of Bilohorivka, keep attacking
Bakhmut
Bilohorivka has been the main focus for RuAF during the last week or so. They had some initial success, and claimed capture of the village. As per usual, it was not true as they keep attacking that village. -
AFU breakthrough possible in Savtove-Kreminna but limited by weather
I believe an AFU breakthrough is possible in the Savtove-Kreminna area. But I'm not sure AFU would be able to exploit it more than liberating more than one village at a time with current weather/terrain conditions.
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AFU repulses attack near Novoselivs’ke, destroys RU morale
Svatove
The AFU repulsed an attack around Novoselivs'ke. UA forces are slowly destroying RU positions and morale in this area. -
Possible Przewodów missile strike silo complex identified 9km from Ukraine border.
This (50.4741829, 23.9211845) MAY be the silo complex targeted earlier tonight in #Przewodów. There are numerous small farms in the area, but none appear to have a silo complex like this one… Site is 9 kilometers from the border with Ukraine.
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Polish authorities yet to confirm reports of stray Russian rockets
Polish authorities are yet to confirm the reports on Russia’s stray rockets allegedly landing in Poland. Here’s the original story https://
wiadomosci.radiozet.pl/Polska/rakiety
-spadly-na-polske-sa-ofiary-smiertelne
…