GeoConfirmed. "Russia's airbase in Crimea closest to the front is experiencing a major uptick in heavy airlifter activity, likely due to several factors, the biggest being the attack on the Kerch Bridge that severely hampered wartime logistics to the Kherson region."
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Daily bombings in Ukrainian cities are genocide
if you're shocked & appalled by the nightmare in today's kyiv, please be as shocked & appalled by the same kind of nightmare that happens in mykolayiv, nikopol, zaporizhzhia, bakhmut and many other cities f*king DAILY. the world needs to learn the extent of genocide in ukraine
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Russians build barge bridge next to Antonovsky bridge in Kherson
GeoConfirmed. "The Russians finished the barge bridge next to the Antonovsky birdge. Building next to the bridge also provides them some cover." 46.66695, 32.72062 GeoLocated by @bayraktar_1love
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Ukrainian Interior Minister: 36 of 42 Shahed drones downed
Ukraine’s Interior Affairs Minister: 36 out of 42 Shahed drones were downed today
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Ukraine Air Force downs 37 of 43 Russian kamikaze drones launched since Sunday.
Yuriy Ignat, spokesperson for Ukraine's Air Force, says 43 drones kamikaze drones have been launched by Russia from the south to attack Ukraine since Sunday evening, with air defenses successfully downing 37 of them.
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Warning against shooting from windows in populated cities
Ignat had this message for folks firing hunting rifles and other weapons out of their windows: "Really, let the military do their job. You don't need to shoot from the window, because bullets in densely populated cities then return to people's heads."
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Russian military options after possible mobilization failure
If the Kremlin’s gambits don’t work, meaning mobilization fails, or can’t sustain Russian holdings and Ukraine keeps fighting – what then? It’s now time to consider Russian military options that could come next. I discuss in the article (/6)
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Mobilization brings unpredictability to Russian front forces
Mobilization is likely to bring unpredictability to the Russian front. Russian military leaders are unlikely to know with confidence how this undisciplined composite force will react when confronted with cold, exhaustion, + combat conditions, once inside Ukraine (/5).
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Discipline problems among Russia’s poorly trained mobilized units in Ukraine
There are already discipline problems in Russia among mobilized units. They receive less than 30 days of training and 16K currently deployed to Ukraine, Putin said. For now, they are deployed piecemeal to the front line to depleted units. Some are killed within days (/3)
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Annexation and mobilization cannot solve Russia’s war problems in Ukraine
Annexation and mobilization cannot overcome larger problems for Russian forces in Ukraine: the demands of a high intensity war on a force kept unprepared to wage it; early + severe losses to its elite units; resilience and will to fight of Ukrainians; & western support. (/2)