Finally, this Sunday, multiple rumors are circulating: calls from the Chinese, Kazakh, and Serbian governments (among other countries close to Russia) for their nationals to leave Ukraine;
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Russian Strategy and Ukrainian Advances in October 2022
This would allow them to return to the sector’s frontlines as of February 24. As for the Russians, they aim to capture Bakhmut to attack the rear of the Ukrainian positions and force them to retreat from their advanced positions between Oskil and Lyman.
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Ukrainian strategy to breakthrough in the north
24/ Both sides are trying to break through to outflank the other: the Ukrainians aim to push north and take Zvatove to cut off Severodonetsk and retake the entire northern part of the Luhansk Oblast up to the border.
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Two Maneuver Ideas in Northern Donbass
23/ The operative point is that one can discern two maneuver ideas, both in the Northern Donbass. Indeed, the front line generally runs along a vertical from Horlivka up to the east of Kupiansk.
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Russian strategy at Zvatove and reorganisation
On 17/ they are clearly aiming to take Zvatove in the north, which explains why they are not currently pushing further south, towards Kreminne as I had anticipated. But despite their past successes, they must reorganise. We do not know their losses.
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Russians may target Ukrainian logistics
Ukrainians, for example, skillfully conducted a campaign against Russian military logistics last summer, with the successes we know. It would not be surprising if the Russians did the same against Ukraine’s infrastructure logistics.
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Russian bombings resume, anti-population strategy?
Finally, the big story of the week was the resumption of Russian deep strikes, particularly with missiles. Many saw this as an anti-population strategy. It still makes little sense.
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Oskil, continuous pressure between Lyman and Kupiansk
Oskil, between Lyman and Kupiansk. This long strip of land now allows them to keep up continuous pressure on the Russian setup that has reestablished itself at the Zherebets river. They will thus have spent more than two weeks to control this territory.
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Calm situation north of Donetsk in October 2022
To the north, the area between Soledar, Siversk, Bilohortvka, and north of the Donets River up to Torske remained calm. Ukrainian pressure is more evident to the northwest. Thus, the Ukrainians have completed taking control of the entire eastern bank of the river.
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Bakhmut bypass from the southwest and possible clashes
5/ to bypass Bakhmut from the southwest. Fighting reportedly began in the city outskirts. On this Sunday evening, it remains under Kyiv's control despite rumors.
