15/ Yampil. The Russians only had one route left via Torske. Finally, between Friday and Saturday, the Russians yielded the area while leaving behind a significant number of prisoners and equipment (though fewer than the 5,000 claimed by the Ukrainians).
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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East front quiet, focus shifts to north and Bakhmut
13/ On the eastern front, nothing particularly relevant to report, neither in Donetsk nor towards Bakhmut (slight pressure around Soledar, which hadn't been heard of for weeks). The main action is unfolding on the northern front.
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Russian Advance Southwest of Orikhiv: ISW Report
In the southern front of Zaporizhzhia, according to the U.S. ISW, Russian forces reportedly made minor gains southwest of Orikhiv by capturing the villages of Stepove, Myrne, Nesterianska, and Konolanova.
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Ukrainian advance on the Dnipro, threat to Russian positions
10/ If this is confirmed, the Ukrainians could advance along the Dnipro and outflank the entire Russian force north of the pocket… This would represent a new local collapse to be debited to the Russians.
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Front Stabilizing in Kherson Despite Ukrainian Offensives
8/ It is true that we were all preoccupied with Donbas. It must be noted that the front around Kherson has stabilized, even though the Ukrainians have resumed their offensives over the past two days. They reportedly attempted to take Davydiv Brid, apparently without success.
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Offensives announced to the north and south, possible advances
9/ Similarly, a few offensives would have been launched to the north and south (Posad Pokroske). Pro-Ukrainian accounts report a resumption of the offensive. As of the latest daily news, to the north Petrivka, Zolota Balka, Kreshenivka, Shevchenivka and Lyubumivka are said to have been captured.
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Military Front: Focus on Kherson and Kostromka
6/ Let's turn to the military fronts, and for once, let's start from the West. Almost no one talked about Kherson this week. However, on the latest map from the pro-Russian site rybar, one can see that the town of Kostromka, south of the Ukrainian bridgehead of Lozove,
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Western Interest in the Unclaimed Author’s Situation and Affair
4/ For my part, I feel that it is the Westerners who have the most interest in this, and I add that it is fair play since it nevertheless removes a tool of pressure from Moscow. But as the affair has not been claimed, knowing the author ultimately has not
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@egea_blog — 2022-10-02
2/ Commençons par un front extérieur, celui des gazoducs Nordstream 1 et 2 qui ont été percés au début de semaine. Il est rapidement apparu que ces accidents étaient très probablement dus à des sabotages. La controverse a enflé pour savoir qui en était l’auteur.
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Possible Russian withdrawal from Dnipro
The Russians could retreat across the Dnipro on foot, as the bridges remain passable for pedestrians. It’s unclear how far the Ukrainians will advance at this stage—they won’t want to overstretch their forces, and they can afford to take their time.
