#GUR_informs Three Ukrainian Marines Successfully Returned to Ukrainian-Controlled Territory https://gur.gov.ua/content/troie-ukrainskykh-morpikhiv-zmohly-povernutysia-na-pidkontrolnu-ukraini-terytoriiu.html
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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The psychological impact of expecting Russian nuclear attacks
i cannot describe what it does to your brain, settling with an idea of imminent russian nuclear attacks on your land, your loved ones.
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Ukrainian warns: Russian fascists genocidal, stop dismissing warnings
as a ukrainian i can testify that russian fascists are that mad and genocidal. they hate us, they hate themselves, they hate this world. please stop dismissing our warnings.
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Challenges regenerating armored units from long-term storage
The longer term challenges will be regenerating armored units from long term storage. Others who follow the UAF closely know they have challenges here too. (/13)
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Mobilized forces could aid Russia in auxiliary roles to relieve soldiers
Mobilization *could* help Russia hold on to what it has taken from Ukraine, if mobilized forces are used in auxiliary roles in the occupied territories – for checkpoints, logistics, as drivers, etc. They could free up other (exhausted) soldiers for the line of contact. (/11)
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Russia’s neglected mobilization base to send untrained troops to Ukraine
Russia’s mobilization base has been neglected for a decade and will struggle in many respects. However, it is capable of introducing personnel into Ukraine in the coming weeks – not trained, prepared or equipped – but it is ingesting a large number of people at present (/10)
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Russia’s Escalation Threat Fails to Deter Ukraine and Its Supporters
Russia’s plan relies on shocking Kyiv and Ukraine’s supporters with the threat of escalation to get them to stop. One problem though for Russia’s plan: Ukraine and its supporters are prepared to continue their efforts. (/6)
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Russian military at weakest point, Ukraine should press on
The Russian military is at its weakest point so far in the war, before it attempts to regenerate in the months and years ahead. Pressing on makes sense for Kyiv and supporters, and also… (/7)
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Concerns over Kremlin’s response when annexation ploy ignored
…I am concerned about where all this is heading, and how the Kremlin will respond and lash out when its annexation ploy is ignored. Their reaction will be contingent on a few different factors, and hard to predict just yet. Nukes are not the first step in escalation (/8).
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Russia hints nuclear guarantees for annexed territories
Something else to watch for: the nuclear card. Kremlin officials already hinted that Russia’s nuclear guarantees would apply to what they illegally claim as Russian territory. The Kremlin did this after annexing Crimea also (/5)