And a major difference was that the Russian troops were told they were going to war in many cases barely a day before, and even then they were sent under false pretenses, without much of anything coordinated, I’ll prepared, etc. which had cascade effects throughout.
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Mykolaiv and Poltava regions have fewest schools ready
Mykolaiv and Poltava oblasts reportedly have the least number of institutions prepared for the upcoming school year.
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Only 41% of schools ready for in-person classes
Less than half of Ukraine’s educational institutions are ready to resume in-person instruction. The Education and Science Ministry inspected around 80% of Ukrainian educational institutions and found that only 41% have shelters and are prepared for in-person study.
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Russian SVKO activity increases in western Ukraine, but air defenses are effective
16/ Ukraine SVKO. Russian SVKO activity in western Ukraine continues to increase. The VKS has been attempting to expand its UAV coverage over a wider portion of western and central Ukraine at depth. PSU air defenses have been highly effective in shooting down VKS PGMs.
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Ukrainian actions in Zaporizhia and OD Odesa-Kherson prepare counteroffensive
14/ Ukrainian actions/activity in the Zaporizhzia & Odesa-Kherson ODs are shaping conditions to conduct a counteroffensive in the most vulnerable VSRF Operational Direction to decisively seize the strategic initiative away from the Russians & throughout the fall & winter.
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ZSU southern counteroffensive: scaled-up Sumy/Chernihiv tactics, not grand maneuvers.
13/ The ZSU counteroffensive in the south will not be initiated by grand maneuvers, it will more likely resemble the actions taken against the 2d GCAA and 41st CAA in the Sumy & Chernihiv Oblast during the early days of the war, but this time at scale.
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Deep Russian strikes force logistical focus
These deep attacks are forcing the Russians to shift away from their primary strategic objectives and instead focus on defending their logistical bases. This keeps them under relentless pressure and denies them the time needed to regain offensive equilibrium.
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Russian Strikes Increase in Zaporizhzhia
9/ Zaporizhzhia OD. The Russian Armed Forces have significantly escalated their artillery, missile, and airstrikes in the Zaporizhzhia Oblast, likely to preempt any potential Ukrainian offensive in this region by forcing Ukrainian forces to remain on the defensive.
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Russian offensives near Siversk and success near Bakhmut
7/ Further east Russian offensive efforts against Siversk have devolved into small-scale tactical actions. It has been in the Bakhmut area that the SVRF have had their “greatest success”, gaining some ground of positional advantage relative to ZSU units defending here.
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France to assist demining Chernihiv Oblast
The Chernihiv Oblast head announced that France will involve its specialists and equipment in the demining effort after a meeting with representatives of the French Embassy in Ukraine.
