Ukrainian Healthcare Minister Viktor Liashko says Russian authorities are blocking access to medicine and first aid in occupied areas. People die or deteriorate without healthcare and medicine. These are also war victims. Source: @GolosAmeriki

→ View original post on X — @gerashchenko_en

If Russia annexes these territories, Moscow would need a large force to hold a highly contested front line and cope from organized partisan attacks within occupied Ukrainian regions. Where will this force come from, when….(6/)

→ View original post on X — @massdara

Why would Russia annex these oblasts? For many reasons, but the one I focus on is this: the Kremlin needs this phase of the war to end so it can repair and regenerate forces. I use the word phase because Russian goals for Ukraine are long-term and probably unchanged.(3/)

→ View original post on X — @massdara

Ukrainian and Russian goals through the end of 2022 are therefore on a collision course: Ukraine seeks to prevent the conflict from ossifying along a frozen line of contact, and Russia is accelerating its efforts to attain that outcome. (5/)

→ View original post on X — @massdara

Russia may think annexation, followed with nuclear saber-rattling about territory that the Kremlin defines as Russia, may shock the system into slowing foreign weapons deliveries to Ukraine. Or would freeze the line of contact. Kyiv has already said no to that. (4/)

→ View original post on X — @massdara

For months, Russia has installed Russian officials to administer occupied regions, changed area codes and ISPs to Russian ones, confiscated Ukrainian passports, imported teachers, + more, to "harmonize" the regions with Russia. This is most likely annexation groundwork (2/)

→ View original post on X — @massdara

Below, I discuss the critical period ahead for the war in Ukraine. Russia lays ground for annexing parts of Ukraine. However, there is, again, a mismatch between the Kremlin's goals and the exhausted forces it has remaining to deliver those goals (1/).

→ View original post on X — @massdara

One of the wounded as a result of the morning Russian shelling in the Saltivka district of Kharkiv died in the hospital, National Police representative Serhiy Bolvinov reported. In total, one person died and six were wounded in the shelling this morning. Experts are working at the scene.

→ View original post on X — @hromadske