The next 2 weeks could be decisive for the Kherson region, – Khlan http://censor.net/ua/n3360689
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Preparation for action against Kherson: Russian logistical strikes explained
25/ and continue the methodical preparation of their action against the Kherson pocket. This would explain their long-range strikes against the entire RU logistical system leading to Kherson. This optimistic hypothesis remains, of course, to be validated.
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RU cherche à distendre la défense UKR en augmentant la pression
19/ Kiev avait dû renforcer localement son dispositif mais pour cela, prendre des forces soit en réserve, soit déjà en place sur d’autres fronts. En augmentant la pression sur de nouveaux fronts, la RU chercherait ainsi à distendre la défense UKR
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Multiplying Fronts to Stretch Ukrainian Resources
18/ According to this hypothesis, it would be a matter of multiplying pressure points across all fronts so as to stretch all UKR resources. In past weeks, we sensed a certain UKR surprise at the opening of the Donetsk front.
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Russian MTLB destroyed by 2B9 Voloshka automatic mortar from 22nd battalion
GeoConfirmed.
— GeoConfirmed (@GeoConfirmed) 14 août 2022
"At least one Russian MTLB was destroyed by mortar fire from an 82mm 2B9 Voloshka automatic mortar by the 22nd separate motorized infantry battalion"
50.15320, 36.42545
GeoLocated by @PauliusZaleckas https://t.co/Nwt5QLCOB2GeoConfirmed. "At least one Russian MTLB was destroyed by mortar fire from an 82mm 2B9 Voloshka automatic mortar by the 22nd separate motorized infantry battalion" 50.15320, 36.42545 GeoLocated by @PauliusZaleckas
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Incident affecting local RU resources, impact to be qualified but replacement needed
16/ the impact of this incident seems to be limited: while it still affects local RU resources, they did not seem to be directly involved in ongoing operations. However, they will need to be replaced. This is clearly bad news for the RUs.
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Explosions in Saki, Crimea: Four Missile Attack Hypotheses
14/ The big story of the week was the explosions at the Saki air base in Crimea. It is still unknown what happened. Four hypotheses are surfacing: two by missile attacks (either American ATACAMS or UKR-made missiles);
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Kherson: Ukraine repels Russia, cuts Dnipro bridges
13/ In the Kherson sector, Ukraine is not advancing and claims to be repelling Russian attacks, notably against the Lozove bridgehead. Ukraine announces it has cut all bridges over the Dnipro, thus preventing Russian supplies.
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Slow progress in Marinka and failures in the south
In Marinka, progress is slow and laborious, with Russian forces reportedly controlling two-thirds of the town (one-third last week). Finally, efforts to advance toward Pavlivka and Vuhledar in the south have come to nothing.
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Shelling of Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant: Mutual Accusations
12/ Further west, the shelling of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant has been widely commented on. It is under Russian control, with Russian units stationed there and possibly logistical depots. It has been shelled in recent days. Both sides accuse each other.