21/ Military Assessment: This week saw several movements from both sides. The UKR are insisting on encircling the Kherson pocket, hoping to wear down the RU forces over time. The RU, meanwhile, have continued their pressure in the N Donbas,
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Modern Observation: Tanks Less Effective, Ukraine Bets on Time
19/ Above all, as both Russia and Ukraine have learned, modern observation means (drones and satellites) no longer allow for the deployment of massed armor to force a breakthrough. Therefore, Ukraine's cautious maneuver bets on time.
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Ukrainian Operational Preparation Rather Than Counter-Offensive
18/ The whole participates more in operational preparation than in a true counter-offensive, as it is usually imagined. It is true that the terrain is not conducive to this and that UKR forces do not seem to have the maneuver capabilities of large units.
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Floating Bridges and Ukrainian Maneuvers to Isolate the Southern Russian Pocket
16/ floating bridges to ensure connection. Simultaneously, the UKR sought to cut off the north of the southern pocket, relying on the Inuhlets River which at one point crosses the Russian disposition. This explains their return to Davydi Brid.
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Ukraine Targets Dnipro Crossings to Hinder Russian Support
15/ To this end, the UKR attempted to cut off crossing points on the Dnipro: a road bridge, a railway bridge, and a dam. The first two are damaged, but not the third. This logically hinders RU support. Consequently, the latter have deployed
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Ukrainian Attack on Fortified Strongpoint: A Curious Strategy to Watch
13/ At the same time, this part of the front has been heavily fortified by the UKR since 2014. It is curious to see the RU attacking one of the enemy's strong points and not one of its weak areas. This point therefore remains to be watched.
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Russian Advance South of Donetsk: Pressure on Avdiivka
11/ But it is a little further south, towards Donetsk, that things seem to be moving, following an increase in Russian pressure, in two directions: north of the city, by attempting to bypass the Ukrainian stronghold of Avdiivka via Kamianka and Krasnohorivka;
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Kiev Orders Evacuation of Civilians from Sloviansk and Kramatorsk Under Russian Bombardment
9/ Consequently, Kiev is beginning to order the evacuation of civilian populations from Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, regularly shelled by the RU.
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Strategic analysis of Russian advances in Donbass
It is likely that Russian forces will attempt to push southward into the valley to seize control of Highway T 513, aiming to advance from the south while cutting off the Ukrainian front’s rear near Horlivka, around Saitseve.
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Kiev’s Lost Power Plant: Impact on the Logistical and Economic War
8/ on their objectives. This new situation is obviously bad news for Kyiv, which is losing a power plant that supplied a large part of its electricity. This is important in the logistical and economic war between the two countries.
