Rocket strike on Kropyvnytskyi, Kirovohrad region today. Five people died, 25 wounded, according to Regional Military Administration head Andrii Raikovych.
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
-
Options for Ukrainian marine and airborne maneuvers
I think there are interesting options for marine and airborne maneuvers here from the Ukrainian side here. We know they have both Boats and Helicopters provided by the west.
-
Cutting RuAF Supply Route from Crimea Crucial for Southern Liberation
I think that cutting the RuAF supply route from Crimea is of importance to liberate the south, and I think we are seeing a setup for that right now.
-
Binding RuAF to west Dnipro aids AFU in Zaporizhzhia
By binding RuAF to the west side of the Dnipro, taking out their ability to resupply and also redeploy to other areas could create favorable conditions for an AFU in the Zaporizhzhia direction.
-
Reaction to the Dnipro attack and bridge weaknesses
2. If they can get the RuAF to send reinforcements to the west side of the Dnipro, they might be able to trap them by controlling the access routes for the supply. We have seen evidence of the AFU being able to with precision take out the bridges over Dnipro.
-
Dnipro defense line and AFU’s main offensive effort in Zaporizhzhia
If they achieve this, they have a great natural defense line in the form of Dnipro, and might be able to relocate resources to the Zaporizhzhia area, where I think the AFU will concentrate their main effort when they go on the offensive. (but so will the RuAF)
-
Kherson Heist: Win-win for AFU by stopping Russian supplies
I believe the Kherson situation is a win-win for the AFU, I've been calling this the Kherson Heist. 1. If they can get the RuAF to withdraw from this side of the Dnipro by stopping their supplies, they will have avoided a lot of military and civilian casualties.
-
AFU cuts off another road to Vysokopillya, RuAF stuck with dirt road
The other major road to Vysokopillya from the east is also cut of by the AFU. RuAF needs to rely on the road gong across the fields, but this is nothing more than a bad dirt road, this road does not provide optimal driving conditions for trucks going in two directions.
-
Northern Kherson: Ukrainian forces block RU attack at Bilohirka
Northern Kherson. The AFU blocked a RU attack in the Bilohirka. It seems like the Ukrainian forces want to keep this bridge head. This area gives fire control over the T2207 probably used to supply the RuAF in the Vysokopillya area.
-
AFU incremental gains near Velyka Novosilka and Volodymyrivka
Velyka Novosilka – Volodymyrivka area.
I believe the AFU is making incremental gains in this area. A shelling near Mykil's'ke and RU armor getting hit in Blahodatne are signs of this in my opinion.