9/ UAF & VSRF units remain at a level of relative parity along an extended front. If the VSRF is unable to rapidly adapt to the targeting of its command posts, supply depots, and key GLOCs it is likely the UAF will be able to cause a breakdown in the cohesion of Russian defenses.
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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UAF counteroffensive threat in Zaporizhzhia region
7/ Zaporizhzhia OD. Although action here remains localized attacks to improved tactical positioning the introduction of new UAF units in the Vuhledar may signal the UAF intent for a larger counteroffensive that can threaten Russian logistical infrastructure in this region.
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Importance of UAF rear-area artillery strikes
6/ UAF long-range artillery strikes are the main obstacle to the VSRF. If the UAF can continue to strike deep and destroy Russian ammo and fuel depots they can replicate the success they experienced in grinding the Russian offensive before Kyiv to a halt.
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Update on major events from the past three weeks
2/ Since it has been over three weeks since my last thread, I will be breaking up my normal update over the course of several days. There is a lot of data to analysis and discuss, therefore today’s thread will be a short one on the major events of the past three weeks.
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Russia: possible breakthrough in Donetsk Oblast
5/ Donetsk Oblast OD. The capture of Luhansk Oblast is Russia's first real tangible success since February 24, 2022. The OGRFR is in an ideal position to break through the weakest part of Ukrainian Armed Forces defenses in northern Donetsk Oblast if it can isolate the close combat.
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Kharkiv OD: VSRF limited to small actions, focusing on defense
4/ Kharkiv OD. The VSRF still lacks the capacity for anything more than small-scale action to recapture ground lost in May 2022 to the UAF counteroffensive in this OD. The Russians will most likely invest time and resources to harden defenses of critical infrastructure.
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Russian Forces Secure Luhansk, Struggle Elsewhere in Ukraine
1/ Ukrainian TVD, Day 124-148. Late June to mid-July has seen a host of developments throughout the Ukrainian Theater of Military Action. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (VSRF) have managed to secure the Luhansk Oblast but struggle to produce results on other fronts.
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Russian Offensive Slows to Operational Pause Pace
It is unlikely that Russian troops will be able to occupy significant positions in the coming weeks – the pace of their offensive is the same as during an operational pause.
#news #war #liga https://news.liga.net/ua/politics/nevs/po-skorosti-nastuplenie-rossiyskih-voysk-pochti-ne-otlichaetsya-ot-operativnoy-pauzy-isw
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UK to send artillery, drones, and anti-tank weapons to Ukraine
Great Britain to deliver more artillery pieces, unmanned aerial vehicles and anti-tank weapons to in the upcoming weeks "We will ensure that Ukraine has the tools to defend its country against Putin's illegal invasion," British Defense Minister said. https://
gov.uk/government/new
s/uk-to-send-scores-of-artillery-guns-and-hundreds-of-drones-to-ukraine
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Canada: Russia Lacks Military Capacity for Ukraine Ambitions
Due to significant losses, Russia likely no longer has the military capacity to pursue its ambitions in Ukraine, the Canadian army stated.
#news #war #liga https://news.liga.net/ua/politics/news/u-rossii-bolshe-net-voennogo-potentsiala-dlya-realizatsii-svoih-ambitsiy-v-ukraine-kanada
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