UKR reports 37,000 RU dead; 1000+ tanks, 4000 AFV, 1000+ artillery pieces, hundreds of aircraft (planes and helos) destroyed & 2500 ballistic missiles expended in 4 months. That's upper end. @pavel_luzin paints a more conservative picture: https://
ridl.io/one-way-ticket/ 6/

→ View original post on X — @markhertling

What's significant is while both sides are certainly fatigued, RU personnel & equipment losses are staggering. While it's hard to tell true losses, no matter the figures one believes – & they very from UKR MOD to independent analysts – it is difficult to comprehend losses! 5/

→ View original post on X — @markhertling

In 138 days – less than 5 months – saw major shifts in RU strategic & operational objectives & RU has gained little ground. “The RU invasion of UKR has caused hard & brutal fighting…UKR is making RU pay for every foot of territory they are taking.” https://
defense.gov/News/News-Stor
ies/Article/Article/3088068/ukraine-holding-its-own-against-major-world-military-power-us-official-says/
… 7/

→ View original post on X — @markhertling

There's also less "kinetic" activity on the battle lines in the last week… RU claims:
-They're in their latest "operational pause" (by my count, this is their 4th).
-They're "consolidating" in newly "secured" territory (use of "s due to those claims being questionable). 3/

→ View original post on X — @markhertling

It is 11 July, the 138th day of Russia's illegal war in Ukraine. My last on the war was 20 June (below), written when it appeared to me the tide was beginning to shift. Today it's time for an update, with some additional predictions for the next few weeks. 1/18

→ View original post on X — @markhertling

Russian armour being hit by an anti-armour precision guided 155mm shell – either 155 Bonus or SMArt 155.

You can see submunitions from the shell descending towards their targets before firing an explosively formed penetrator at the top of the vehicles.🔥https://t.co/053xgilikc

— Jimmy Rushton (@JimmySecUK) 11 juillet 2022

Russian armour being hit by an anti-armour precision guided 155mm shell — either 155 Bonus or SMArt 155. You can see submunitions from the shell descending towards their targets before firing an explosively formed penetrator at the top of the vehicles.

→ View original post on X — @jimmysecuk

There were also reports of some units still engaged in combat in the area shortly after Ukrainian forces withdrew from that side of the river.

→ View original post on X — @defmon3

Great question from @Travel6919 about whether there is any obvious reason for Ukrainian Special Forces to operate in the area of Studenok-Oleksandrivka. Yes. This area is crucial for disrupting Russian supply lines. The railway from Belgorod passes/ends in Sosnove/Lyman.

→ View original post on X — @defmon3