14/ The Russians claim to have taken control of Toshkivka. If confirmed, the battle for Severodonetsk should soon begin, once the Zolote stronghold is reduced. The Ukrainian position at the bottom of the salient therefore appears very precarious.
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Resistance in Toshkivka and Russian encirclement of Zolote
13/ It is precisely to support the resistance in Toshkivka that the Ukrainians have maintained a resistance bastion around Hirske & Zolote. This latter town is now surrounded on three sides, the Russians having succeeded, from Pospana, in taking Komyshuvakha & Khram Svyatoho.
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Russian advances on Toshkivka, last gateway before Lysychansk
12/ The RU can indeed advance from the southeast, on the right bank of the river, where SY is precisely located. That is why they are pushing against the defense of Toshkivka, the last lock on the road to LY. Contradictory claims about this locality.
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Syrotyne: Russian advance and imminent Ukrainian withdrawal
10/ The current fighting is reportedly for control of Syrotyne. The Russians are advancing in the industrial zone and the only question that matters is the maintenance of usable bridges for the withdrawal of the last Ukrainian units. A matter of days now.
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Russian advance near Severodonetsk airport
Meanwhile, they pushed eastward and took control of the airport. This separated Ukrainian units located north of the river from each other. Borivske would be under Russian control.
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Fighting in Donbass: Ukrainian maneuver in Severodonetsk failed
8/ Again, the main action takes place in the Donbass, with two main sectors. In Severodonetsk (SD), the Ukrainian maneuver fizzled out. After the initial surprise, the Russians reestablished their positions, holding all the residential part.
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Minimal Ukrainian operational objective: diversion of Russian forces
7/ Thus, failing to recapture the Kherson pocket, UKR would have achieved a minimal operational objective, that of diverting the announced Ru effort to another front. This also means that UKR's possibilities of advancing remain reduced. We will return to this.
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Russia moves units south of Zaporizhzhia
However, while the Russian defensive line appears to be holding and the Inhulets River seems to form (with minor exceptions) the new front line, Ukrainian activity has forced Russian forces to redeploy units that were positioned south of Zaporizhzhia.
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Russians retake Davydiv Brid; Ukrainians push north and south
5/ However, the Russians reportedly retook the village of Davydiv Brid. The Ukrainians reportedly made some pushes further north, without being conclusive. South of the pocket, there too there are some Ukrainian pushes but also some Russian advances along the estuary.
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Ukrainian bridgehead on the left bank of the Inhoulets
4/ On the Kherson side, the observer still has difficulty understanding what is happening. I therefore remain very cautious and ask for indulgence regarding my remarks. It thus seems that the UKR still have a bridgehead on the left bank of the Inhoulets River.
