Over the past two weeks, Ukraine managed to extend its buffer around the city of Kharkiv, while Russia gained ground along the Siverskyi Donets River but failed to establish new footholds on its opposite banks. Mapping with @detresfa_ and @SimTack
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
-
Evacuation of children near Liman
Close to the embattled city of Liman in Donbas today. They’re saving kids from seeing the worst.
-
Russian shelling causes ammonia nitrate warehouse explosion in Kharkiv Oblast
Russian shelling causes explosion at ammonia nitrate warehouse in Kharkiv Oblast. Reported by Donetsk Oblast Military Administration Head. "The explosion does not pose a threat to the local population." https://
t.me/pavlokyrylenko
_donoda/3399
… -
Russian Reinforcements: Impact on the Second Phase of the War
What about Russian reinforcements? Well, assuming 10-15 BTGs additional from the rest of the force, and other sources like mercenaries, you might be looking at another 10-12k troops in the war during the second phase. It does not dramatically alter the picture. 17/
-
Estimating Russia’s initial force size and BTG composition
The first problem is figuring out Russia's initial force. As we've come to learn the average BTG size was probably not 800, or 750, but probably closer to 600. Not all units deployed as BTGs, but the main maneuver force was possibly 80-90k. 13/
-
US BTG counts now include DNR/LNR units, previously excluded
For example, it appears at some point US official BTG counts started to include the DNR/LNR units whereas before it seemed they did not. So the initial BTG counts of 125-130 may not have included the 'separatist' corps or Rosgvardia. 10/
-
Ukrainian data on 1st Guards Tank Army KIA, WIA, MIA, POW
As one potential data point, 1st Guards Tank Army figures published by UKR through March 15th could be genuine. They show 61 KIA, 209 WIA, 44 MIA, and 96 POW. This is during a high period of RU losses in the war. That's 3.4 WIA to KIA, and 5.7 overall. https://
x.com/RALee85/status
/1526164608238624769
… 8/ -
Ukrainian villager freed from grave after Russian attack
A Ukrainian villager crawled out of a grave after Russian invaders shot him and his brothers in a forest in Chernihiv Oblast. The bullet fired into Mykola went through his cheek, sparing his life. His brothers were not so fortunate.
-
Forces russes fortifient des localités occupées en Ukraine
Russian forces are fortifying occupied settlements along the southern axis in Ukraine, which is indicative of Russian objectives for permanent control of the area.
-
Maksym Eristavi on Western blind spot for Russian colonialism in NRC
talked to major dutch newspaper @nrc about the western blind spot for #russiancolonialism and how my hashtag went viral. thanks paul alexander for such a strong and powerful piece — i'd wish more western outlets do the same favor for their audiences https://
nrc.nl/nieuws/2022/05
/08/in-oekraine-wordt-russische-invasie-vooral-gezien-als-koloniale-strijd-a4123767
…