— 20/ almost under RU control. The battle of Lyman continues. Pressure on Severodonetsk is increasing and the breakthrough at Popasna will inevitably weigh on the UKR rear. Finally, the line north of Donetsk could move if the few observed breakthroughs are confirmed and

→ View original post on X — @egea_blog

19/ However, the front appears to be stabilizing at its edges: this seems to be the case in Kharkiv as well as in Kherson. The southern front remains active but without affecting positions. The Donbas front, on the other hand, still appears very active. Thus, the northern bank of Donetsk seems

→ View original post on X — @egea_blog

16 / Ultimately, Snake Island remains a confusing issue. The Ukrainians launched two successive assaults around May 8. They appear to have been repelled, even though the casualty figures reported by the Russians are exaggerated. While signs of fighting are visible,

→ View original post on X — @egea_blog

Kherson front appears largely inactive despite regular ART fire. In recent weeks some spoke of a Russian offensive; rumors now point to a Ukrainian attack. Still, this front is marginal today.

→ View original post on X — @egea_blog

In Mariupol, the Azovstal resistance appears to be nearing its end. The last fighters, barricaded inside the main plant, reportedly have no more ammunition; Russian forces have allegedly entered the main building.

→ View original post on X — @egea_blog

13/ Thus, the UKR would have counterattacked near Neskuchne (just west of Donetsk) while the RU would have pushed from the Horlivka side. There too, no major changes in the lines but a breakthrough seems possible. Area to follow, then.

→ View original post on X — @egea_blog

11/ constitue un net succès tactique qui leur permet de repousser la tenaille russe et donc le siège de Severodonetsk. Plus au sud, les RU poursuivent leur pression entre Donetsk et Popasna, avec des progrès minimes du côté d’Avdivka et peut-être à Novobakhmutivka et Kam’yanka

→ Voir le post original sur X — @egea_blog

If breakthroughs were confirmed on this section of the front, they would impact positions held for 8 years. The southern front between Donetsk and the Dnieper River has seen less activity, though minor advances appear to have been made.

→ View original post on X — @egea_blog

but also geographical (approaching under wooded cover to then break out south), this crossing was clearly a failure as it was detected by the Ukrainians, who managed to destroy the floating bridges. The fighting appears to have been intense and the

→ View original post on X — @egea_blog

Popasna. The Russians have launched their main offensive here, and I feel like the battle for Donbas is being decided right now (I almost called it Phase 3; we’ll see next week). Popasna, captured last week, was a key objective.

→ View original post on X — @egea_blog