UKR, on the other hand, has the advantage of the defender. They are on their own home turf, they have support of the population, they can pick and chose when & where they attack. 14/

→ View original post on X — @markhertling

Remember, UKR is a country as big as Texas…about 790 miles east to west, and 380 miles north to south. I haven't computed the distance, but RU logisticians are operating over 1400 miles (that's a SWAG, or situational wild-ass guess), and UKR has an easier time of it. 12/

→ View original post on X — @markhertling

What's exterior/interior lines? This map shows the difference between RU and UKR's lines of supply and support. A quick glance shows how long it would take to get from one end to another for RU supplies, and how UKR can move more quickly inside their lines 11/

→ View original post on X — @markhertling

Another thing you need in for annihilation is unimpeded supply lines. For RU plan of 6 different Axis of Advance, they would need at least 6 major supply and maneuver lines. And…they had "exterior lines" & UKR had "interior lines" 10/

→ View original post on X — @markhertling

While the RU force appeared to be well-equipped & manned… UKR's army has grown to over 240k, with additional manpower in the territorial force. And they're much better trained & have a greater will (see my tweet of 24 Feb). 9/

→ View original post on X — @markhertling

Today's thread on the ongoing RU invasion. (NB: All of this are just some personal thoughts to contribute to understanding) 3 things:
-Difference between Annihilation & Attrition
-How RU's logistic plan did not support their operation
-How logistics affects both sides now 1/20

→ View original post on X — @markhertling

From their original plan with 4 Axis of Advance, it appears to me the RU wanted an classic battle of annihilation. What's that? It isn't what is sounds to be. 2/

→ View original post on X — @markhertling