Marco Rubio recently said 15,000-20,000 Russian soldiers are being killed every month. Russia is still recruiting heavily, but the war is becoming a massive demographic and economic drain. 4/

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The estimate from British intelligence is even higher than recent calculations by Meduza and Mediazona, which estimated around 352,000 Russian deaths using probate records. 2/

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Ukraine’s strategy is to raise Russian losses above Moscow’s ability to recruit new soldiers. Russia suffered around 30,000 casualties in April alone. 3/

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Burns: Over a million Russian casualties, economy mortgaged for years. Iran temporarily saved Putin — higher energy revenues, fewer US weapons for Ukraine.

But that's temporary. Pressures build. He still controls his society through one skill: repression.

4/ pic.twitter.com/4Kczt52Bd3

— Tymofiy Mylovanov (@Mylovanov) 28 mai 2026

Burns: Over a million Russian casualties, economy mortgaged for years. Iran temporarily saved Putin — higher energy revenues, fewer US weapons for Ukraine. But that's temporary. Pressures build. He still controls his society through one skill: repression. 4/

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Burns: Putin's assumptions were profoundly wrong. CIA had worked with Ukrainian security services since 2014 — I knew they'd push back hard.

I told Putin's people in Moscow in November 2021: Ukrainians will resist as tenaciously as possible, and they'll have our full support. 3/ pic.twitter.com/BMIjQNqBmo

— Tymofiy Mylovanov (@Mylovanov) 28 mai 2026

Burns: Putin's assumptions were profoundly wrong. CIA had worked with Ukrainian security services since 2014 — I knew they'd push back hard. I told Putin's people in Moscow in November 2021: Ukrainians will resist as tenaciously as possible, and they'll have our full support. 3/

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Burns: The FSB — Russia's domestic security service — led the pre-invasion planning for Ukraine.

That's telling. For Putin and the Russian elite, Ukraine was never a foreign policy question. It was a domestic one.

2/ pic.twitter.com/Z1Dqi1EG99

— Tymofiy Mylovanov (@Mylovanov) 28 mai 2026

Burns: The FSB — Russia's domestic security service — led the pre-invasion planning for Ukraine. That's telling. For Putin and the Russian elite, Ukraine was never a foreign policy question. It was a domestic one. 2/

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Former CIA director Burns: Putin always believed Russia couldn't be a great power without controlling Ukraine.

When I met him before the invasion, he was utterly unapologetic. No denial. His message was: "So, what are you going to do about it?"

1/ pic.twitter.com/9ywABd0u2m

— Tymofiy Mylovanov (@Mylovanov) 28 mai 2026

Former CIA director Burns: Putin always believed Russia couldn't be a great power without controlling Ukraine. When I met him before the invasion, he was utterly unapologetic. No denial. His message was: "So, what are you going to do about it?" 1/

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Timur: We have seen air to air missiles and MANPADs used on Shahed drones.
There has not been a successful launch yet, but if you don’t have enough power, maneuverability or anticipation, you’re in a bad situation. 2/ pic.twitter.com/SIUHcTXyoU

— Tymofiy Mylovanov (@Mylovanov) 28 mai 2026

Timur: We have seen air to air missiles and MANPADs used on Shahed drones.
There has not been a successful launch yet, but if you don’t have enough power, maneuverability or anticipation, you’re in a bad situation. 2/

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Timur Fatkullin, Ukrainian pilot: This plane was used for skydiving before the war. Now it’s equipped to neutralize Shahed drones.

Drones were invented to film or deliver things, but like many dreams, they were cursed and are now hitting civilian buildings and power plants. 1/ pic.twitter.com/WG6nhIrmOj

— Tymofiy Mylovanov (@Mylovanov) 28 mai 2026

Timur Fatkullin, Ukrainian pilot: This plane was used for skydiving before the war. Now it’s equipped to neutralize Shahed drones. Drones were invented to film or deliver things, but like many dreams, they were cursed and are now hitting civilian buildings and power plants. 1/

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