C’est le plus nationaliste des chanteurs russes, Oleg Gazmanov. Tôt ou tard, il sera jugé!
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Key factors in the battle’s continuation
The key to this phase of the battle – who will win – is who gets resupplied, how both sides continue to fight, and the ability to counter the RU criminal acts of killing civilian non-combatants. These are just my thoughts in watching the continuation of this war 20/end
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Russia loses forces, targets civilians; Ukraine outmaneuvers but loses citizens
In this fight, the RU will increasingly loose forces, but they will likely continue to indiscriminately & criminally target civilians. UKR will continue to out-maneuver & out-fight the RU enemy, but it will be increasingly tough for them to counter the loss of UKR citizens. 17/
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Russia faces logistics challenges in enemy territory
Logistics plays a big role in this phase of the war for both sides. It will be increasingly tougher for RU to get supplied in enemy territory…fuel, ammo, parts, and personnel replacement will be tough to replace. 18/
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Ukraine’s supply challenges worsen as refugee flow and city attacks increase
While UKR has stockpiles of equipment – and they are getting more from the west – it will be increasingly tougher to locate those supplies where they need it. And there will be competing demands for the civilians, as refugee flow increases & cities are targeted. 19/
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Russia shifts from annihilation to attrition warfare against Ukrainian civilians
UKR has always prepared for a battle of attrition against the numerically superior RU force. But RU has gone from a battle of annihilation to now hundreds of small battles with UKRs Army. And they are attempting to execute a battle of attrition against UKR's civilians. 16/
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Ukraine’s defender advantage: home turf, population support, flexible attacks
UKR, on the other hand, has the advantage of the defender. They are on their own home turf, they have support of the population, they can pick and chose when & where they attack. 14/
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Ukraine’s size like Texas, Russian logistics struggle over long distance
Remember, UKR is a country as big as Texas…about 790 miles east to west, and 380 miles north to south. I haven't computed the distance, but RU logisticians are operating over 1400 miles (that's a SWAG, or situational wild-ass guess), and UKR has an easier time of it. 12/
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Exterior vs interior lines: RU long supply, UKR faster movement
What's exterior/interior lines? This map shows the difference between RU and UKR's lines of supply and support. A quick glance shows how long it would take to get from one end to another for RU supplies, and how UKR can move more quickly inside their lines 11/
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RU’s 6 axes need supply lines; exterior vs interior lines
Another thing you need in for annihilation is unimpeded supply lines. For RU plan of 6 different Axis of Advance, they would need at least 6 major supply and maneuver lines. And…they had "exterior lines" & UKR had "interior lines" 10/