This morning, the BBC asked me what advice I would give the president of Ukraine as a Ukrainian citizen. I answered: “Don’t piss off Trump” and “Strengthen the army.” 7/

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What has changed for Ukraine since 2022 is that there is no a real opportunity to join the EU. But that requires difficult domestic political and technocratic work. It’s a challenge, but it’s realistic, doable 6/

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Previous U.S. presidents followed a similar policy. They didn’t provide serious military aid, didn’t impose tough sanctions (for example, after Crimea), and didn’t bring Ukraine into NATO, despite constant statements about support and future possibilities. 5/

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At the same time, Trump isn’t cutting off the military support that’s already in place. Neither of them has done anything to prevent the war from reigniting in the future. Trump is simply saying it outright—it’s Europe’s and Ukraine’s problem 4/

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Biden stood with Ukraine in the war as long as it took (for him to leave the office) but without giving enough aid. Trump wants to end the war but won’t provide enough aid either. 3/

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Biden was against NATO expansion, against providing Ukraine with enough support to retake occupied territories when it was still possible, and against strong sanctions on Russia. Trump is just making it explicit. 2/

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