One victory that the world doesn't pay enough attention to: How Ukraine non-existent Ukraine navy defeated the omnipotent Russian navy in the Black Sea
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Pokrovsk: Last Stronghold Preventing Russian Advance on Dnipro
Pokrovsk is the last stronghold in the southwestern part of Donetsk Oblast, holding back Russian forces from advancing further toward Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and the regional capital of Dnipro. https://
kyivindependent.com/outnumbered-an
d-outgunned-ukraine-struggles-to-halt-russian-advance-near-pokrovsk/
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Stable peace requires clear enforced line and Ukraine’s defense
The reverse is true as well. The only deal possible is a stable one. In which the contact line is clear, and enforced. Ukraine has weapons and support required to prevent future attacks. So, the key to any peace is to get Ukraine to a stage where it can defend itself 17X
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Unstable Ukraine deal risks future nightmare like Minsk agreements
An unstable deal, a deal in which Ukraine can't stand on its won or together with allies to defend itself against future invasions by Russia will be just that – an unstable deal. It will turn this bloody mess into an even worse nightmare, the way Minsk agreements led to this 16/
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Ukraine cannot accept unbacked ceasefire after huge losses
The same is true in Ukraine. It is impossible to sell to your nation, which lost hundreds of thousands, that you have to give up more territory, arms, NATO aspirations for a ceasefire, not backed up by any real security guarantees 15/
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Zelensky and Poroshenko didn’t sell territory; leaders can’t lead where people resist.
Neither Zelensky nor Poroshenko nor anyone else sold any of it. Why would it be any different now? The realities on the ground, the mood among Ukrainian and Russian military and civilians will determine the future. The leaders can lead, but not where people don't want to go13/
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Ukraine and Russia war realities outweigh capital decisions
My point is that the realities on the war ground in Ukraine and Russia matter more than the policy decisions in the capitals. Yes, funding matters, sanctions matter, deals can be struck, but what deals and whether they will hold will be determined locally 5/
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Ukraine’s surprise, old peace talks lens, and future geopolitical questions.
So Ukraine surprised everyone, including Russia, NATO, and the US. And yet the entire discussion about the future of peace is still within the same old lens, sort of what is happening in Moscow, what Putin will think about it, will Trump be anti-NATO 4/
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Ukraine’s unexpected resilience and key victories
The most surprising and decisive factor in this war has actually been Ukraine: it didn’t fall in three days, drove Russians out of Kharkiv and Sumy, confined the Black Sea fleet, restored the grain corridor, struck Kursk, and learned to hit deep into Russia 3/
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Ukraine defies scripts; Berlin debate on Trump’s top-down solution
The true shock in this war came from Ukraine itself – its people, defying scripts written in Moscow and Washington Yet, the old ways of thinking persist. Speaking in Berlin this week, I was struck by how much of the debate revolved around Trump imposing a top-down solution 1/