Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed RuAF attacks in the area of Vymika, Soledar, Zaitseve and Kurdyumivka. It seems like RuAF have spread their forces more evenly along the line rather than focusing on the south side of Bakhmut.
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Bakhmut: Ukrainian counterattacks against Russian assaults
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Lyman: AFU crossings of the Oskil and SD rivers; defense of Lyman
Lyman. I belive the AFU has established atleast 5 crossings over the Oskil and SD river. The reason the russians are prepared to defend Lyman until the last man, is it's a key blocking positions for the axis of advance east of the Zherebets river.
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After Lyman falls, axis west of Zherebets advances on Svatove
Once Lyman falls, the axis west of Zherebets will have their flank protected by the eastern axis and they can start advancing towards Svatove.
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AFU établit des têtes de pont près de Kup’yans’k
Kup'yans'k Based on shelling locations, I believe the AFU has established 2 bridgeheads in the Kup'yans'k area.
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Russian Nuclear Threats: Fire Only in Case of Vital Interests Threatened
34/ This will therefore facilitate the deployment of reinforcements. A word on nuclear weapons: V. Putin's threats in this regard are not new. Nevertheless, even for the Russian Federation, nuclear fire would only be unleashed in the event of threats to vital interests. Except perhaps
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Command, Major Problem for Military Units and Formations
30/ Nevertheless, numbers are not everything, and the most serious problem remains command: both at the level of frontline units, whose cohesion is not assured, and at the level of larger formations, not to mention strategic-level coordination.
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Military Personnel Movements: War as a Spur to Modernization
31/ Personnel movements have been reported (military intelligence, logistics). War is a formidable spur to military modernization, as illustrated by the conflicts of the 20th century where defeated armies managed to transform themselves to achieve success later.
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Uncertain Reinforcements, Opportunity for Ukraine Despite General Winter
28/ to deliver and order them. Many doubt the effectiveness of these reinforcements: we shall see. It is certain in any case that they will not affect the course of the battle in the short term. This leaves a window of opportunity for UKR, even if soon General
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Russian Mobilization: Hopes and Delays for Understaffing
27/ Mobilization will eventually resolve, or at least that's what the Kremlin hopes, the issue of understaffing in Russian forces. However, it will take weeks before any effect is seen on the ground: training, equipping, and forming units will be necessary.
