John Sullivan, US ambassador to Russia, has left Moscow after nearly three years in the role and will retire from public service, according to an embassy announcement. He leaves at the most tumultuous moment between the US and Russia since the Cold War. https://
ru.usembassy.gov/ambassador-sul
livans-departure/
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Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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US Ambassador John Sullivan Departs Moscow Amidst Cold War-Level Tensions
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Ukrainian forces strike traitor Saldo’s site in Kherson
Ukrainian forces struck a site linked to traitor Saldo in Kherson, ammunition depot exploding, – Mayor Oleksiy Ryashchuk
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Liberated areas face massive shelling, civilians warned of continued danger
Command South's spox: "The liberated settlements where our troops are just taking hold are subject to massive shelling as the enemy still has forces and capabilities. People must realize that even when our troops advance, there is still the possibility of being hit from afar"
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Chernihiv: 15 injured in ammo exhibition blasts
The number of victims who sought medical help after explosions at the ammunition exhibition in Chernihiv has risen to 15 people. Among them are 8 children and 7 adults, said regional governor Vyacheslav Chaus during a telethon broadcast. As of today, four people have been hospitalized.
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Raising flag in Vysokopillya, Kherson region
Raising the Ukrainian flag in Vysokopillya town, Kherson region, today. Glory to Heroes! : TSN
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Women on military register banned from foreign travel after Oct 1
After October 1, women registered for military service will no longer be able to freely travel abroad, according to military law expert Smihlka from the Ministry of Defense.
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Ukrainian Forces Have Resources to Contain Russia in the South
Ukrainian Armed Forces have resources to contain Russia in Ukraine's south — Command Currently, the Ukrainian troops are focused on exhausting Russian forces, Nataliya Humenyuk, spox of the Command "South," said on the nationwide telethon. https://
suspilne.media/278248-zsu-mau
t-resursi-dla-strimuvanna-rosii-na-pivdni-komanduvanna/
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Ukrainian offensive context and stages discussion
I said much of this earlier on the WOTR podcast. Also, Rob had a good thread https://
x.com/RALee85/status
/1565771980720279554
… and Jack Watling's article is very helpful in thinking more about the long term and understanding the context for this offensive, views I tend to share. https://
rusi.org/explore-our-re
search/publications/commentary/ukrainian-offensive-must-come-stages
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Geography Favors Ukraine Against Russia
Overall, the geography is favorable to Ukraine, and in this area they can establish a relative advantage—if not in forces, then in fires and logistics. Russian forces have been reinforced over the summer, but many BTGs are likely at half strength, with strained supply lines.
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HARM and suppression of Russian air defenses: UA air superiority pockets
Having used HARM to suppress Russian air defense, and likely EW, Ukraine may have pockets of localized air superiority (enough for TB2 to operate on parts of the front), but it will require sustained suppression against Russian ADS which could regenerate. 8/