In other words, Kyiv appears to have opted for a forward defense, believing this will wear down Russian forces over time. When I was a lieutenant, a very long time ago, I had learned that there were three factors in a tactical maneuver: terrain, time, and forces.
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Defenders of SK in dire straits, front around Zolote and Hirs’ke
9/ Defenders of SK are in very bad shape. The city should fall soon. Farther south but northeast of the Popasna salient, the UKR seem to have decided to maintain a blocking front around Zolote and Hirs’ke. The incessant fighting is taking place for control.
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Russian progress in Severodonetsk and bridges under control
8/ On the Severodonetsk side, the Russians have also advanced by taking control of all the outskirts of the city and penetrating the first neighborhoods. Moreover, the bridges linking Severodonetsk to the south of the Donets are either broken or under Russian control. Suffice to say that the…
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Russian setup at Izyum: inactive for four weeks, questions
7/ On the Russian disposition left at Izyum: it was estimated to be large but has not maneuvered for four weeks: has it been left waiting? Have forces been withdrawn? On the contrary, are they ready for action? Analysts are lost in conjectures.
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Russians control the north bank of the Donets and threaten Sloviansk
6/ The RU control almost the entire north bank of the Donets and are within immediate firing range of Sloviansk (15 km). Above all, since they have already crossed the river on the Izyum side, they can begin their pincer movement on the city. Nevertheless, much uncertainty remains.
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Donbass and the Fall of Lyman without Urban Combat
5/ Or, the principal effort is being made in the Donbass and the bad news is piling up for Kyiv. The city of Lyman (40,000 inhabitants) has fallen, without street fighting. The mere pressure for two weeks was enough for the Ukrainian forces to retreat. Since then,
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Ukrainian maneuver to ease pressure on Donbass
4/ because this shows a UKR maneuver aimed at pushing on secondary fronts in the hope of easing pressure on the main Donbass front: Kyiv hopes to create difficulties for the enemy and thus force it to reallocate forces to these secondary sectors.
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Ukrainian gains minor in southern front
On the southern front, there were again a few hiccups this morning. The Ukrainians reportedly retook two hamlets near Novopil. Each time, Ukrainian advances bring minor gains that don’t appear to threaten the Russian positions. Yet, this is far from negligible.
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Ukrainian offensive in northern Kherson pocket, unclear results
2/ The UKR reportedly launched an offensive in the N of the Kherson pocket (Velyka Olesandrivka). The volume of forces engaged remains unclear (a battalion? more?). The result of the fighting is also indistinct: the UKR claim an advance, the RU announce having repelled.
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Ternova retaken by Ukraine, rumors in Kherson
1/ On the northern front, apart from a few artillery exchanges, there have been some clashes northeast of Kharkiv, where the locality of Ternova was contested. It is said to have fallen back under Ukrainian control.
On the Kherson front, many rumors circulated this week.