18/ Humanitarian Impact. Ukrainian refugees total 8.5+ million, with 6.33+ million in countries bordering Ukraine, another 2.14+ million throughout Europe, and 7.6+ million internally displaced people throughout Ukraine (1.4+ million in eastern Ukraine & 519K in southern Ukraine).
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Russia faces NATO as Sweden, Finland seek to join
Day 77-79 of the Ukrainian TV coverage. Russia struggles to find an effective response to Sweden’s and Finland’s impending requests to join NATO, as well as new sanctions. Western aid to Ukraine continues to expand and accelerate as Western nations host Ukrainian soldiers for training.
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Russian losses crossing the Siverskyi Donets
13/ Battle Damage Assessment. Russian forces suffered significant losses in multiple attempts to cross the Siverskyi Donets near Bilohorivka and Pryvillya. While estimates vary, it is evident that at least 60-70 armored vehicles and hundreds of troops have been lost.
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Azovstal: intense fighting and attacks in Mariupol
9/ Azovstal. Against unrelenting air and artillery attacks, the defenders of the Azovstal complex still holding their ground. Russian attacks have secured the west entrance to Azovstal. In Mariupol, occupation authorities increase checkpoints to detain “suspicious” residents.
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Snake Island: Key Maritime Strategic Point in Black Sea
11/ Black Sea. Snake Island is a key maritime strategic point from which the Russian Black Sea Fleet (BSF) can extend control over Ukraine’s southwestern coast, interdicting shipping in and out of Odesa. The BSF will likely continue attempts to extend control over this region.
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Russian defeat in Severodonetsk salient
6/ Further east in the Severodoentsk Salient two attempts to ford the Siverskyi Donets NW of Severodoentsk and envelop the Salient from the NW and west resulted in a decisive defeat of at least one guards brigade, possibly two.
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Severodonetsk-Donetsk OD: Russian setbacks, withdrawals, defense
5/ Severodonetsk-Donetsk OD. Russian forces have suffered a series of significant setbacks with a few marginal successes over the past several days. Attrition and redeployment of 1st GTA / VDV units from the Izium Axis has forced Russia to assume the defense in this area. #Donbas
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Russian forces shift east for defense along Siverskyi Donets River
4/ The redeployment of 1st GTA & VDV units to the Vovchansk & Kupyansk areas indicates an eastward defensive shift tying into the natural barrier of the Siverskyi Donets River to augment the defensive capability & capacity of Russian forces to guard their rail & road GLOCs.
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Russian forces thoroughly defeated north of Kharkiv, conducting fighting withdrawal.
3/ Kharkiv OD. Russian forces have been thoroughly defeated north of Kharkiv. Russia has been conducting a fighting withdrawal since the start of the Ukrainian counteroffensive rather than trying to establishing a new defensive line. #UkraineRussianWar #Kharkiv
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Ukrainian counteroffensive near Kharkiv
Ukrainian TVD, Days 77-79. Over the past 72 hours, the Ukrainian military has exploited the gains from their limited Kharkiv counteroffensive to push Russian forces into Belgorod Oblast. Russian offensive operations along the Siverskyi Donets Line have achieved little success.