That's what we're seeing now in several locations in the east & south. Lots of Russian artillery barrages against the front line, followed by smaller RU combat units attempting to seize terrain/cities/critical objectives. RU artillery is working. The RU maneuver forces…10/
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Ukraine’s army low on 152mm ammo, awaiting 155mm from West
While Ukraine's army (UA from here out) have some Russian 152 mm cannons, and they are receiving LOTS of guns (155 mm cannons) from the US & NATO, there's 2 problems. 1. UA is running low on 152 (Russian) ammo
2. The western guns/ammo ain't there yet. 6/ -
Guns and radars arriving fast but not yet all at front
Yeah, yeah, I know @PentagonPresSec said the guns/radars are arriving fast, and *some* are already there. But they're not all at the front, with the ammo, just yet. Things just don't magically move to the front & get into the fight immediately in combat. 7/
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Russia reinforces with massive tube and rocket artillery barrages
What RU has done is reinforce with lots (repeat, LOTS) of tube and rocket artillery. That is according to RU doctrine. To penetrate an enemy's defense, RU uses mass artillery barrages all along the front. They've been doing that. And it is deadly. 4/
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Russian forces understaffed, low-strength for May victory
Given the time & desire of Putin to have a May victory, it's likely little of that happened. RU likely has either low-strength units, several units consolidated into one, or units poorly manned. Reports indicate 2-man tank crews (3 needed) & BMP w/ few infantry in back. 3/
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Mark Hertling’s indicators for new phase in Ukraine
A few weeks ago, as the "new phase" was being discussed, I suggested we should look for a couple things happening in the east and south of Ukraine. We're very early in that new phase & there are indicators those things are happening. Let's review what we should see. 1/12
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Significant number of Russian troops leave Mariupol for Zaporizhia
"Significant" number of Russian troops leave Mariupol, head in direction of Zaporizhia Obl -senior Pentagon official at closed briefing Says continued strikes at Mariupol means they don't yet control it have launched 1900 missiles at https://
buff.ly/3xZkdgW -
Bundestag votes to expand and accelerate heavy weapons delivery to Ukraine
German Bundestag calls to expand & accelerate delivery of heavy weapons to Ukraine 586 MPs voted for, 100 against "Protecting Peace and Freedom in Europe – Comprehensive Support for Ukraine," a joint proposal of CDU/CSU opposition bloc& coalition parties https://
bild.de/politik/2022/p
olitik/krieg-in-der-ukraine-bundestag-beschliesst-lieferung-schwerer-waffen-79909646.bild.html
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International Legion member Scott Sibley killed in action, mourned by colleagues
Our International Legion is sustaining combat losses as well
Rest In Peace Scott Sibley Thank you for your service. You fought for the most just cause this world knows now. -
US allows Ukraine to buy weapons on credit
They are separate. The LL essentially allows Ukraine to order US weapons "on the tab".