But rather than pinning Ukrainian troops in the north, UKR now has the opportunity to reinforce the JFO in the Donbas, and there will be a substantial amount of abandoned equipment captured in the Kyiv area that Russian forces have probably left behind. 7/
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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No future Russian assault on Odesa
There will also be no future assault on Odesa. The southwestern offensive was overextended, battered in fighting around Mykolaiv, and suffered a defeat at Voznesensk. Russian forces have retreated to establish a perimeter around Kherson and appear set to hold there.
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Russian forces lose momentum, Ukrainian counterattacks gain ground
Russian forces ran out of momentum and became combat ineffective on most fronts 3-4 weeks into the war. UKR forces have counter attacked, and made sustained gains for over a week now. 3/
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Russian campaign’s diffusion of effort due to unachievable political objectives
From the outset the Russian campaign suffered from a diffusion of effort, driven by unachievable (in my view) political objectives. Instead of a center of gravity the Russian effort had numerous competing objectives & 4 military districts executing with poor coordination. 2/
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Russian retreat from Kyiv represents significant military defeat
The Russian retreat from Kyiv (east & west) is likely to involve most if not all of the units. I’m now skeptical they will leave forces behind. Judging by organization/cohesion of the withdrawal I wouldn’t call it a rout, but it represents a significant military defeat. 5/
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Decisive Battle in Donbas to Shape Moscow’s War Strategy
The next decisive battle will be in the Donbas where Russian units are regrouping and attempting to push UKR forces out. That’s the front to watch in the coming weeks. How this battle turns will probably inform Moscow's thinking on prospects in a sustained war. 4/
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More insane losses inflicted by Russians
More crazy losses taken as they attempt to withdraw from around Kyiv.
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Géorgie et Moldavie demandent l’adhésion à l’UE
Georgia, Moldova Formally Apply For EU Membership Amid Russia's Invasion Of Ukraine https://
rferl.org/a/georgia-mold
ova-eu-applications/31734092.html
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However, joining sanctions against Russia would threaten Russian gas supplies to Moldova, while the Kremlin would not feel restrictions, Sandu said https://
ukrinform.net/rubric-polytic
s/3446165-sandu-explains-moldovas-move-not-to-join-russia-sanctions.html
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Sky News team in Irpin after liberation
A team from British Sky News visits #Irpin 2 days after it was liberated. Irpin that for a month held the defense of #Kyiv while being shelled, destroyed and tortured is still showing its resilience and indestructable will to live. #StopWar #StopPutin pic.twitter.com/4lUzMPcXma
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) 2 avril 2022A team from British Sky News visits Irpin two days after its liberation. Irpin, which for a month defended Kyiv while being shelled, destroyed and tortured, is still showing its resilience and indestructible will to live. #StopWar #StopPutin
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Lithuania fully abandons Russian gas
The Lithuanian Ministry of Energy has announced that the country has completely stopped importing Russian gas in response to Russia's energy blackmail in Europe and the war against Ukraine.
