This new assessment from
@WarintheFuture
is worth a read. https://
foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/russia
s-new-theory-victory
…
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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New assessment on Russia’s new theory of victory
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Generators at power plants likely Russian targets, becoming common by spring
One more thought – there are generators like that at every small and large power plant and water pump facility now. So Russia is likely to target that first. We have one for our building because we had a donor. So this is less usual but I bet by the spring it will be common.
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Russia targets generator, a desperate move, but we rebuild
If Russia is gonna target this generator, it must be pretty desperate then. While we will rebuild again.
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100kW diesel generator powers Kyiv School of Economics, ending blackouts
Blackouts are no more. We now have a 100kw diesel generator at the Kyiv School of Economics. It is enough to power up the entire building. We are very grateful to our donors.
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Russian missile kills paramedic and elderly man in Kherson
In Kherson, Russia’s missile hit a centre where locals where also able to get medical treatment, receive humanitarian aid. Russia’s attack killed a female paramedic, 32 and a 70 y.o. man.
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Russia strikes Kherson again, kills two to intimidate locals
Russia strikes Kherson city centre for the 2nd time in the past 24H, killing two persons. Russia’s aim is to intimidate defiant local people who stood up to occupation and welcomed UA troops, so it continues its policy of leaving burnt land everywhere it has capacity to do so.
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Col-Gen Chaiko now commands Russian forces in Syria after failed Kyiv attack
The commander of the Eastern Military District was Col-Gen Chaiko. His units like the 64th were unprepared & damaged in the failed attack on Kyiv & accused of multiple atrocities. He was not relieved for cause, he now commands Russian forces in Syria. /13
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Russian command negligence and secrecy undermined invasion opening phase
His account is consistent with others and fits a pattern of excessive secrecy, lack of preparation, and command negligence in the opening phase of the invasion, to such an extent that Russia undermined its own operation. (/11) https://
foreignaffairs.com/articles/russi
an-federation/2022-05-18/russian-militarys-people-problem
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Failed Kyiv attack led to Russian unit near Izyum until counteroffensive collapse
After the the attack on Kyiv failed and Russian units withdrew, he found himself back in Ukraine near Izyum in May. It seems like he stayed in that area until around August or early September when those lines collapsed during the Ukrainian counteroffensive… (/8)
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Chibrin claims deception on Belarus deployment, forced into Ukraine
In Chibrin's telling, he claims he was lied to by the command about their deployment to Belarus, which is a consistent theme from this time period. He then refused to go to Ukraine. In his telling, he was thrown into a truck and driven in. (/7)