Across the entire front, it can therefore be estimated that Ukrainian losses are at least double. Meaning losses of up to 600 men per day. This is absolutely enormous. Is the RAPEFF changing?
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Russian Tactics and the Frightening Report of a Doctor in Bakhmut
34/ So we are no longer sure that Russian tactics are as consuming of human forces as before. At the same time, an article from France Info (https://francetvinfo.fr/monde/europe/manifestations-en-ukraine/reportage-on-a-l-amputation-facile-le-recit-d-un-medecin-francais-au-poste-medical-de-bakhmout-en-ukraine_5529369.html) gave a frightening insight.
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Ukrainian infantry assaults now by small units
28/ The other explanation has been suggested by the Ukrainian command, which notes that henceforth, infantry assaults are no longer carried out by large masses (company or platoon, from 100 to 25 men) but by smaller units (group or squad,
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France welcomes Olena Zelenska and Denys Shmyhal at #SolidaritéUkraine conference
Welcome to France, for your meeting on Tuesday at the #SolidaritéUkraine conference, @olenazelenskaua & @DenysShmyhal, it is an honor to host you here. France is proud to host the international conference on #Ukraine's resilience on December 13th.
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Change of command and withdrawal from the Kherson pocket
25/ The first is a change of command. The arrival of General Surovikin may have changed the game. Let us remember that he had obtained, for military reasons, the withdrawal from the Kherson pocket despite the political defeat that this constituted (note no. 37).
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Artillery concentration to wear down Ukrainian defenses
22/ This explains what we have been observing for several weeks now: a concentration of artillery fire on Ukrainian positions in order to wear down the defenses and advance through attrition.
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Ukraine reinforced by Western guns but fire ratio stays Russian
21/ If Ukraine has been reinforced with Western cannons, if these are more accurate and even disregarding the ammunition issue (cf. last post), it must be noted that the fire ratio (RAPFEU) probably remains in favor of the Russians.
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Artillery ratio between Ukraine and Russia at the start of the war
20/ A recent article in the latest issue of Conflits magazine (https://revueconflits.com/guerre-en-ukraine-le-retour-de-lartillerie/…) reminds us that at the beginning of the war, Ukraine had 1500 guns and 350 MLRS. Russia had 4600 guns and 800 MLRS. A ratio of one to three.
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Analysis of the hypothesis of delaying Ukrainian offensives
19/ Therefore, many believe that the Ukrainians were forced to postpone their offensives in order to hold positions in the Donbass. Let us examine this hypothesis. Recall that Russian tactics rely on artillery. We mentioned this again last week.
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Situation near Soledar: constant effort, no collapse
18/ up to the outskirts of Soledar. Nothing that seems irreparable or gives the feeling that the Ukrainians are cracking. Despite everything, this constant push in the center marks an effort. We will return to its ambitions.