17/ des opérations cet hiver. Simultanément, la pression russe ne faiblit pas et même les Ukrainiens remarquent que les Russes ont changé de tactique. Ainsi, en quinze jours, les Russes ont réussi à grignoter quelques positions du sud de Donetsk

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16/ At first, it was thought that the weather and muddy terrain were the reason for this stagnation. That is undoubtedly a factor, but there seem to be other factors. Moreover, according to ISW, it appears that the Americans advised the Ukrainians not to launch

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14/ Its western outskirts would be Ukrainian, the Russians still holding the village. Some fighting on both sides further north between Svatove and Kupiansk, apparently more to test the arrangement than to actually advance.

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15/ Military analysis: The disengagement of both sides from the Kherson pocket was supposed to give each new opportunities. Many therefore expected Ukrainian initiatives, either in the south or near Svatove. They did not come.

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The Russians are reportedly pushing toward Bilohorivka, though seemingly less than two weeks ago. The Ukrainians continue to push toward Kreminna, with no significant gains. Much has been said about the village of Chervonopopivka.

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However, they are still struggling to take Klishchiivka, southwest of Bakhmut, which they aim to capture to cut off the D 504. They remain stalled at Opytne and in the eastern outskirts of the city.

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9/ A bit further north, they would push to Kamyanka and Novobakhmutivka to bypass Avdiivka from the north. Center zone: The Russians seem to have taken the towns of Ozarianivka and Kurduymivka, opposite Zaitseve, just north of Horlivka.

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In the southern sector, while the Vuhledar area is now stable, Russian forces have reportedly made minor advances near Donetsk: in Novomykhailivka, Marinka, Pervomaiske, and still in Vodyane, which is said not to have been fully captured.

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The southern front of Zaporizhzhia has also remained inactive. The Russians, however, regularly report Ukrainian troop concentrations, and many commentators (including your humble servant) note that a breakthrough toward Melitopol would make strategic sense.

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2/ The Kherson front remained inactive due to the separation of the Dnieper. Let us consider nothing the sending of two Ukrainian Zodiacs that went to take a photo on the south bank of the river, nor the so-called appropriation of two sandy islets by the Russians.

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