Russian forces have taken heavy losses in manpower and equipment, with far fewer combat effective formations available. Not clear what we are calling ‘BTGs’ at this point and their level of manning. Russian reinforcements are far from sufficient to replace earlier losses. 6/
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Russian attack from Izyum advances on Slovyansk and Severodonetsk
The Russian attack thus far seems to be an advance on Slovyansk from Izyum, pressing the Severodonetsk salient, and pushing southwest from Izyum (west of Kramatorsk) to attempt a partial envelopment of UKR positions in the northern part of the Donbas. 3/
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Ukraine retreats, blows bridges, prepares counterattack
UKR forces appear to have conducted a tactical retreat in some areas, blown bridges, and at the same time could position for a counter attack to threaten the sustainment of the Russian offensive. 5/
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Kofman’s brief thoughts on Russia’s Donbas offensive and implications
I’ve been traveling and not writing much these past two weeks. Some brief thoughts about the second phase of the war, Russia’s offensive to retake the Donbas, and implications. Thread. (map from Nathan below). 1/
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Forced mobilizations begin in Mariupol for the DNR army
We have received the first confirmations of forced mobilization of men in Mariupol for the 'DNR army', — adviser to the mayor Andriushchenko
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308 Mariupol residents, including 90 children, deported to Vladivostok
308 Mariupol residents, including 90 children, were deported to Vladivostok (9513 km away) on April 21st. They are currently housed in schools and hostels in the region, according to an advisor to the Mariupol mayor.
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Russia strikes Odessa with missiles on infrastructure targets
Russian forces launched a missile strike on Odessa, hitting infrastructure facilities
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New wave of crackdowns against the Russian command
New round of repressions against Russian Army command after Moskva sinking – Ukrainian intel Commander of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, Admiral Osipov removed from office & arrested; Chief of Staff – 1st Deputy Commander of Black Sea Fleet Vice Admiral Pinchuk investigated, etc
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The Great Cleanup: Light and Water in Brovary, Sewerage in Borodianka
“The Great Cleanup”: Brovary already has electricity and water; sewer connections will be connected soon in Borodianka. VIDEO
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In Mariupol, men are mobilized for the DNR army
In Mariupol, men are being mobilized to the ‘DNR army’. The occupying forces are mostly looking for young men under 40. Currently, they are being sent toward Donetsk direction — adviser to the Mayor of Mariupol, Petro Andriushchenko.