Not all people have been taken from under the rubble of the Mariupol Drama Theater. Women, children and the elderly had hidden there from Russian bombings. At least 300 people died.
50% of population evacuated; occupiers forcibly displaced 30,000 people to Russia.
Full-scale invasion and national resilience, broadcasted live.
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Mariupol Drama Theater bombing kills 300 civilians
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Decentralized Ukrainian resistance in Kherson learned from Iraq conflicts
2.2/ Outside of Kherson, local communities / hromadas are mostly controlled by Russians. Yet, the resistance in Kherson and elsewhere in Ukraine is operational and institutionalized. It is also covert and decentralized. I guess Ukraine learned from recent conflicts in Iraq etc
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Ukrainian marines enter city amid small arms firefights
2.1/ A local online radio reports over night that Ukrainian marines have entered the city. There are small arms firefights, an escalation from just artillery fights yesterday. The city is not taken, but contested. This is consistent with US reports a day or two ago
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Kherson retaking would be huge symbolic win for Ukraine
2/ So, Kherson. The only regional capital fallen so far. Retaking or contesting it would be a huge symbolic win for Ukraine. The Russian troops will spread the word.
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Kremlin doubles down aggression, Ukraine resists existential fight
1.8/ In the typical Russian manner, the Kremlin will double down and be able to continue aggression for months and, possibly, years, despite the sanctions. But Ukraine will resist. The fight is existential for Ukrainians and they (we!) are no stranger to brutality.
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Russia repeats 2014 stick and carrot strategy on Ukraine
1.3/ So, Russia creates a stick and a carrot. The stick: Western fear of uncontrolled and unpredictable escalation. The carrot: give up on Ukraine and this will stop (even if temporarily). This approach worked in 2014 in Crimea and Donbas. Why wouldn't it now?
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Russia can sustain sanctions and continue war longer than expected
1.4/ Russia has more time for this strategy to work than most Western observers realize. Russia can sustain the Western sanctions, with a collapsed economy and low living standards, and continue the war in Ukraine.
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Lviv bombing as symbolic message to Biden visiting Poland
1.1/ Lviv was bombed yesterday. In my view, it is a message to Biden, who was visiting Poland. Lviv is the closes and most symbolic location in Ukraine. This is the war of symbols as much as the war of brutality
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Four symbolic developments in Ukraine war signal structural change
0/ Good morning. Several notable developments in the war in Ukraine. They are small in scale, but symbolic and might signal a structural change: 1. Lviv bombardment. 2. Kherson is contested. 3. Azerbaijan move on Russian supported territories in Nagorno-Karabakh. 4. Belarus
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UK to allocate £2m for food in occupied Ukrainian cities
UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss announced that the UK will provide Ukraine with £2 million to supply food to Ukrainian cities temporarily occupied due to Russian aggression, according to the British government. https://news.liga.net/ua/world/news/britaniya-predostavit-pomosch-v-2-mln-funtov-dlya-vremenno-okkupirovannyh-gorodov-ukrainy